2026 Election Poll Tracker

Note: Polling data shown may not reflect the latest available results. Polls are aggregated from public sources and updated periodically. Last data refresh: March 15, 2026.

Real-time polling averages for Senate, House, and Governor races across the country. Updated daily from major polls.

National Overview

22
Dem Senate Seats
12
GOP Senate Seats
8
Toss-up Races
36
Governor Races

Last updated: March 16, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET

Senate Balance

Democrats currently hold 51 seats (including 3 independents who caucus with Democrats). Republicans hold 49 seats. With 34 seats up in 2026, control of the Senate is at stake.

Dem 51
GOP 49

Current Senate composition (100 seats)

Most Competitive Senate Races

View All 35 Races →
Alaska Toss-up
Dan Sullivan (R) - Incumbent, seeking third term
Mary Peltola (D) - Former US Rep, front-runner for Democrats
NYT/Siena Jun 15-29: Sullivan 47, Peltola 45; Alaska Survey Research (earlier): Peltola 49, Sullivan 43 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Georgia Toss-up
Rick Jackson (R) - Won Jun 16 runoff over Trump/Kemp-endorsed Burt Jones; Trump endorsed Jul 22
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) - Former Atlanta mayor; won Dem primary
Natural Gas Assoc of GA Jul 29-Aug 1 (MoE 3.6%): Bottoms 46.4, Jackson 44.9 (statistical tie); Fox News Jul 13-16: Bottoms 52, Jackson 47 (1,060 voters, MoE 3%); State Navigate Jul 10-13: Bottoms 51, Jackson 44; Wick Jun 27-30: tied 43-43 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Iowa Toss-up
Zach Lahn (R) - Businessman; upset win with 37.65% over Rep. Randy Feenstra
Rob Sand (D) - State Auditor; unopposed for Dem nomination
Emerson Aug 2-4 (LV): Sand 48, Lahn 43; Fox News Jun 23-27: Sand 53, Lahn 44; NYT/Siena Jun: Sand 48, Lahn 47 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Maine Toss-up
Susan Collins (R) - Incumbent, seeking sixth term
Troy Jackson (D) - Former state Senate president; formally nominated at Jul 25 Bangor convention with 90%+ of delegates; all serious rivals dropped out by Jul 19
Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV): Jackson 48, Collins 46; UNH Jul 15-20: Jackson 49, Collins 46 (1,236 respondents, MoE +/-2.8%); SurveyUSA Jul: Jackson 45, Collins 44; Senate Majority PAC/Hart Research (Jul 27-Aug 1, D-aligned partisan poll): Jackson 49, Collins 45 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Michigan Toss-up
Abdul El-Sayed (D) - Progressive public health advocate; won Aug 4 Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens despite $60M+ in outside spending against him (NBC News projection)
Mike Rogers (R) - Former congressman, 2024 nominee, GOP nominee
Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Rogers 51, El-Sayed 47; EPIC-MRA Jul 24-31: Rogers 46, El-Sayed 43 (Rogers +3); Mitchell Research Jul 28-31 (672 LV): Rogers 45, El-Sayed 45 (tied, post-primary); Glengariff Jul 22-24: Rogers leads El-Sayed 49-39 in general Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Nevada Toss-up
Joe Lombardo (R) - Incumbent; won primary with 91%
Aaron Ford (D) - Attorney General; won primary with 63.8%
PPP/DGA Jul 15-16: Lombardo 44, Ford 44 (tied, 558 likely voters); Jun 2026: Lombardo 45, Ford 42 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Ohio (Special) Toss-up
Jon Husted (R) - Appointed incumbent (filling JD Vance's seat)
Sherrod Brown (D) - Former three-term senator
Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV, MoE 3%): Brown leads Husted by 8; Fox News May 28-Jun 1: Brown 53, Husted 45; AARP Jun 14-16: Brown 48, Husted 45; BGSU/YouGov: Husted 50, Brown 47 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Ohio Toss-up
Vivek Ramaswamy (R) - Entrepreneur, won May 5 primary
Amy Acton (D) - Former state health director, unopposed in primary
Impact Research Jul 24-28: Ramaswamy 47, Acton 46 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%); AARP Jun 2026: Acton 47, Ramaswamy 44; NYT/Siena: tied 47-47 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Wisconsin Toss-up
David Crowley (D) - Milwaukee County Executive; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Francesca Hong; endorsed by Gov. Evers
Tom Tiffany (R) - US Representative, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP primary
Protect Our Wisconsin/DGA Jul 30-Aug 3 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%): Crowley 47, Tiffany 44 (D-aligned partisan poll); Marquette Jul 22-27 (pre-primary, LV): Hong-Tiffany tied 44-44. Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Arizona Lean D
Katie Hobbs (D) - Incumbent; won Jul 21 Democratic primary unopposed
Andy Biggs (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Jul 21 GOP primary over Schweikert
AARP Jul 26-28 (MoE 3.2%): Hobbs 52, Biggs 44; Emerson (Jul 2026 pre-primary): Hobbs 44, Biggs 43; Biggs won Jul 21 GOP primary with ~70% Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Iowa Lean R
Ashley Hinson (R) - Congresswoman, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 2 primary 73.9%
Josh Turek (D) - State representative, won Jun 2 primary 62.6%
Emerson Aug 2-4 (712 LV, MoE 3.7%): Hinson 48, Turek 45; Fox News Jun 23-27: Turek 50, Hinson 46; NYT/Siena Jun 15-27: Hinson 48, Turek 46 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Kansas Lean R
Ty Masterson (R) - Senate President, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP primary with 42% over Secretary of State Scott Schwab and others
Cindy Holscher (D) - State senator; won Aug 4 Democratic primary
Nominees set after Aug 4 primaries: Masterson won GOP primary with 42%; Holscher won Democratic primary. Open seat, Kelly term-limited. Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Michigan Lean D
Jocelyn Benson (D) - Secretary of State; won Aug 4 Democratic gubernatorial primary over Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson
John James (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP gubernatorial primary over businessman Perry Johnson
Mitchell Research Jul 28-29 (672 LV, post-primary): Benson 46, James 44 (Benson +2); earlier EPIC-MRA showed larger Benson lead before James clinched GOP nomination Updated: Aug 14, 2026
New Hampshire Lean D
Chris Pappas (D) - US Rep, Democratic primary front-runner
John Sununu (R) - Former US Senator, GOP primary front-runner
Scott Brown (R) - Former MA Senator, trailing in GOP primary
UNH Jul: Pappas 47, Sununu 44 (general); Pappas 53-29 Manzur in Dem primary; Sununu 59-20 Brown in GOP primary Updated: Aug 14, 2026
New Hampshire Lean R
Kelly Ayotte (R) - Incumbent, primary front-runner
Cinde Warmington (D) - Former executive councilor, primary front-runner
UNH Survey Center Jun 30: Ayotte 44, Warmington 39 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
North Carolina Lean D
Roy Cooper (D) - Former Governor, Democratic nominee
Michael Whatley (R) - Former RNC chair, Trump-backed Republican nominee
Carolina Journal Aug 9-10: Cooper 51.5, Whatley 39 (+12.5); Fox News Jul 28-Aug 5 (1,000 RV): Cooper 53, Whatley 44; Elon Univ late Jul: Cooper 53, Whatley 42 (+11); Carolina Forward Aug 2026: Cooper 50, Whatley 43; Emerson Aug 1 (CBS17): Cooper 47, Whatley 41; PPP Jul 10-11: Cooper 48, Whatley 44 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Texas Lean R
Ken Paxton (R) - State AG, won May 26 runoff over incumbent Cornyn
James Talarico (D) - State representative, won Dem primary 52.4%
TSU/Barbara Jordan Center Aug 4: Talarico 47, Paxton 45; Fox News Jul 23-27 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Talarico 51, Paxton 48; TPOR Jul 15-17 (1,048 LV): Talarico 45, Paxton 40 (Talarico +5, MoE 3.4%); NYT/Siena: tied 47-47 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Connecticut Likely D
Ned Lamont (D) - Incumbent seeking third term; won Aug 11 Democratic primary over state Rep. Josh Elliott approx. 67-33%
Ryan Fazio (R) - State senator; GOP nominee
Lamont leads Fazio 49.7-29.5 in general matchup (SHU/WFSB/CT Insider Jul 21-26). Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Florida (Special) Likely R
Ashley Moody (R) - Appointed incumbent, GOP primary front-runner
Alex Vindman (D) - Primary front-runner vs Angie Nixon
WLRN/Florida Phoenix Jul 20: Moody 50, Vindman 40 (general matchup); AIF Jun 3-7: Moody 47, Vindman 40 (general matchup) Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Florida Likely R
Byron Donalds (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; GOP primary front-runner, raised $90M+
David Jolly (D) - Former GOP congressman; Dem primary front-runner over Orange Co. Mayor Jerry Demings
UNF Jul 8-17: Donalds 46, Jolly 41 (general matchup, MoE +/-3.8%); Emerson Jul 9-11: Jolly 46, Donalds 42 (general matchup); AIF: Donalds 54% in GOP primary Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Georgia Likely D
Jon Ossoff (D) - Incumbent
Mike Collins (R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 16 runoff 55.5% over Derek Dooley
AARP Jul 13-16: Ossoff 52, Collins 43 (1,060 likely voters, MoE +/-3%); Fox News Jun 23-27: Ossoff 56, Collins 43 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Minnesota Likely D
Peggy Flanagan (D) - Lt. Governor; won Aug 11 DFL Senate primary over Rep. Angie Craig 58.7-39.7%
Michele Tafoya (R) - NRSC-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP Senate primary with about 52% over state party-endorsed Schwarze and Royce White
Nominees set Aug 11 (Flanagan vs. Tafoya); general election polling pending post-primary. Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Minnesota Likely D
Amy Klobuchar (D) - US Senator; won Aug 11 DFL gubernatorial primary with 89.1%
Lisa Demuth (R) - MN House Speaker; won Aug 11 GOP gubernatorial primary with about 45% over Trump-endorsed Lindell (33%) and state party-endorsed Qualls; first Black major-party gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota history
MN Poll (pre-primary): Klobuchar led Demuth by about 8 pts in general matchup; general election polling pending post-primary. Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Nebraska Likely R
Pete Ricketts (R) - Incumbent, won May 12 primary with 81.8%
Dan Osborn (I) - Former union leader, 2024 candidate; no poll shows Ricketts pulling clear in a state Trump won by 20 pts
Feb statewide: Ricketts 48, Osborn 47 (statistical tie); D-aligned Jul poll: Osborn +5 (partisan source, treat with caution) Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Massachusetts Safe D
Ed Markey (D) - Incumbent, primary front-runner, won party convention endorsement
Seth Moulton (D) - Congressman, primary challenger
UNH Survey Jun: Markey 41-35 Moulton in Dem primary Updated: Aug 14, 2026
New York Safe D
Kathy Hochul (D) - Incumbent
Bruce Blakeman (R) - Nassau County executive; also Conservative Party endorsed
Siena: Hochul 50, Blakeman 25 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Pennsylvania Safe D
Josh Shapiro (D) - Incumbent
Stacy Garrity (R) - State treasurer
Quinnipiac: Shapiro 55, Garrity 37 Updated: Aug 14, 2026
South Carolina Safe R
Annie Andrews (D) - Pediatrician, won Jun 9 Dem primary 61.5%
TBD (Aug 25 runoff: Nordone vs. Norman) (R) - Darline Graham Nordone (Trump-endorsed, appointed interim senator, led Aug 11 primary 32.7%) vs. Ralph Norman (24.6%) in Aug 25 runoff. Russell Fry (19.6%), Mark Sanford, and others eliminated.
Emerson/Nexstar Jul 28-29 (n=500, MoE 4.3%): Norman 22%, Nordone 19%, Fry 12%, Sanford 11% (25% undecided); Aug 11 primary: Nordone 32.7%, Norman 24.6%, Fry 19.6%; Aug 25 runoff set. Updated: Aug 14, 2026
Vermont Safe R
Phil Scott (R) - Incumbent, GOP nominee; ran effectively unopposed
Amanda Janoo (D) - Economist; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Aly Richards
Morning Consult (Feb 2026): Scott 74% approval, most popular governor in the country. Updated: Aug 14, 2026

Top Governor Races

View All 36 Races →
North Carolina Competitive
Josh Stein (D)
49%
Mark Robinson (R)
45%
Avg. of 5 polls Updated Mar 15
Wisconsin Toss-up
Tony Evers (D) - Incumbent
47%
Tim Michels (R)
47%
Avg. of 4 polls Updated Mar 13
Michigan Competitive
Gretchen Whitmer (D) - Incumbent
51%
Tudor Dixon (R)
44%
Avg. of 6 polls Updated Mar 12