Dan Sullivan
(R) - Incumbent, seeking third term; at about 42% in primary (certified), advancing to RCV general
Mary Peltola
(D) - Former US Rep; led primary at about 49% (certified), advancing to RCV general; sole Democrat on ballot after Leslie withdrew
Dan J. Sullivan Jr.
(R) - Retired teacher from Petersburg; name-sharing 3rd-place finisher (certified), advancing to RCV general
Alaska Survey Research (fielded Sep 10-12, 1,352 LV, MoE 3%): Peltola 48.4, Sullivan 43.8 first round; Peltola hits 50% in RCV Round 2 against all three opponents; Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP (fielded Sep 8-11, 800 LV, MoE 3.5%, bipartisan): Peltola 46, Sullivan 41 first round; Peltola 53, Sullivan 47 in RCV simulation; Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 13-14 (1,188 LV): Sullivan 39, Peltola 39 (tied first round in 4-way field), Dan J. Sullivan Jr. 7%, Heikes 6%, 9% unsure; Alaska Survey Research Aug 2-5 (1,371 LV, MoE 3%): Peltola 51, Sullivan 49 (RCV final round); Data for Progress Jul 28-Aug 4 (605 LV, MoE 4%, D-aligned): Peltola 47 first round, 53 in simulated RCV final over Sullivan 47; NYT/Siena Jun 15-29: Sullivan 47, Peltola 45. Inside Elections moved from Lean R to Tilt R on Sep 3 (Cook and Sabato remain Toss-up).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
(D) - Former state legislator from Sitka; led Aug 18 primary with 21.62% (certified); sole active Democratic candidate after Begich endorsed him Aug 28
Tom Begich
(D) - Former state senator; 20.07% (certified); suspended campaign Aug 28 citing funding, endorsed Kreiss-Tomkins; remains on ballot under Alaska RCV rules
Bernadette Wilson
(R) - 10.44% (certified); advancing to RCV general
Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP (fielded Sep 8-11, 800 LV, MoE 3.5%, bipartisan): Kreiss-Tomkins 40, Wilson 20, Bronson 14 first round; Kreiss-Tomkins 55, Wilson 45 in RCV simulation (Begich remains on ballot but is suspended; Taylor 7% is not on the November certified ballot). Cook Political Report moved from Lean R to Toss-up on Sep 17, 2026, citing Republican split vote and AARP poll data; Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Likely R to Toss-up Sep 3, 2026. Both Cook and Sabato now rate the race Toss-up. Two Democrats led the Aug 18 primary; with Begich's withdrawal the effective matchup is Kreiss-Tomkins (D) against Wilson and Bronson (both R).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Rick Jackson
(R) - Won Jun 16 runoff over Trump/Kemp-endorsed Burt Jones; Trump endorsed Jul 22
Keisha Lance Bottoms
(D) - Former Atlanta mayor; won Dem primary
YouGov (fielded Sep 15-18, 3,447 RV, MoE 2.7%): Jackson 45, Bottoms 44 (statistical tie, 9% undecided); Rasmussen Reports (fielded Sep 14, published Sep 16, 1,019 LV, MoE 3%): Jackson 48, Bottoms 45 (Jackson +3, within MoE); InsiderAdvantage Aug 16-17 (800 LV, MoE 3.46%): Jackson 46.3, Bottoms 46.2 (statistical tie); Natural Gas Assoc of GA Jul 29-Aug 1 (MoE 3.6%): Bottoms 46.4, Jackson 44.9 (statistical tie); Fox News Jul 13-16: Bottoms 52, Jackson 47 (1,060 voters, MoE 3%); State Navigate Jul 10-13: Bottoms 51, Jackson 44; Wick Jun 27-30: tied 43-43
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ashley Hinson
(R) - Congresswoman, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 2 primary 73.9%
Josh Turek
(D) - State representative, won Jun 2 primary 62.6%
InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 26, R-leaning firm): Turek 47, Hinson 46, Leith (L) 2% (Turek +1, within MoE, statistical tie); Marist Poll (fielded Sep 17-20, 1,050 RV, MoE 4.4%): Turek 50, Hinson 42 (Turek +8; registered voters); co/efficient fielded Sep 14-16 (831 LV, MoE +/-3.39%): Hinson 46, Turek 42 (Hinson +4, 9% undecided); Cygnal for Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 15, R-leaning sponsor, treat with caution): Turek 43, Hinson 43 (tied); Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 8-10 (1,031 LV, MoE +/-2%): Turek 45, Hinson 40, Laehn 4%, 11% undecided (Turek +5; cross-tab: Turek +11 among women, Hinson +3 among men; Turek 83% D, 14% R, 49% unaffiliated; Hinson 75% R, 5% D, 28% unaffiliated); Global Strategy Group for Turek campaign (fielded Aug 27-31, D-aligned partisan internal poll, treat with caution): Turek 46, Hinson 42, Libertarian Laehn 6%; Emerson for Nexstar fielded Aug 31-Sep 1 (750 LV, CI +/-3.6%): Hinson 50, Turek 45 (Hinson +5); Wedgewood (fielded Aug 29): Hinson 50, Turek 48 (Hinson +2); Suffolk University fielded Aug 20-23 (500 LV, MoE 4.4%): Hinson 45, Turek 41 (Hinson +4); Emerson fielded Aug 2-4 (712 LV, MoE 3.7%): Hinson 48, Turek 45; Fox News Jun 23-27: Turek 50, Hinson 46; NYT/Siena Jun 15-27: Hinson 48, Turek 46
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Susan Collins
(R) - Incumbent, seeking sixth term
Troy Jackson
(D) - Former state Senate president; formally nominated at Jul 25 Bangor convention with 90%+ of delegates; all serious rivals dropped out by Jul 19
InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 26, R-leaning firm): Jackson 46, Collins 46 (tied); UNH Survey Center Granite State Poll (fielded Sep 17-21, released Sep 24): Jackson 51, Collins 47 (within MoE, statistical tie); UMass Lowell/YouGov (released Sep 24, field dates unconfirmed, 650 LV, MoE ~4.5%): Jackson 48, Collins 43 (Jackson +5, 6% undecided); NYT/Portland Press Herald/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22, 619 LV, MoE 4.8%): Collins 49, Jackson 46 (Collins +3, within MoE); Quantus Insights fielded Sep 14-15 (MoE 4.3%): Collins 47.1, Jackson 46.4 (Collins +0.7, within MoE, statistical tie); YouGov (fielded Sep 8): Jackson 48, Collins 44; Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 8-10 (1,033 LV, MoE +/-2%): Jackson 46, Collins 45 (statistical tie); SRSS for CNN (fielded Aug 31-Sep 7, 880 LV, MoE 3.7%): Jackson 48, Collins 45 (statistical tie); Abacus Data (released Aug 29, field dates unconfirmed): Jackson 52, Collins 43 (LV); Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV): Jackson 48, Collins 46; UNH Jul 15-20: Jackson 49, Collins 46 (1,236 respondents, MoE +/-2.8%); SurveyUSA Jul: Jackson 45, Collins 44; Senate Majority PAC/Hart Research (Jul 27-Aug 1, D-aligned partisan poll): Jackson 49, Collins 45. Inside Elections moved from Tilt R to Toss-up on Sep 17, 2026 (Inside Elections, Cook and Sabato all now rate Maine Toss-up).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Peggy Flanagan
(D) - Lt. Governor; won Aug 11 DFL Senate primary over Rep. Angie Craig 58.7-39.7%
Michele Tafoya
(R) - NRSC-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP Senate primary with about 52% over state party-endorsed Schwarze and Royce White
SurveyUSA (completed Sep 16, field start unconfirmed): Flanagan 42, Tafoya 42 (statistical tie); co/efficient (fielded Sep 14-15, 833 LV, MoE 3.38%): Flanagan 43, Tafoya 42 (Flanagan +1, statistical tie); TIPP (fielded Aug 31-Sep 2): Flanagan 44, Tafoya 42 (Flanagan +2, within MoE); KSTP/SurveyUSA (post-primary, Aug 2026): Flanagan 46, Tafoya 41 (Flanagan +5, within MoE).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Joe Lombardo
(R) - Incumbent; won primary with 91%
Aaron Ford
(D) - Attorney General; won primary with 63.8%
Emerson for KLAS-TV (fielded Sep 5-8, 680 LV, MoE 3.7%): Ford 44, Lombardo 42 (11% undecided); PPP/DGA Jul 15-16: Lombardo 44, Ford 44 (tied, 558 likely voters); Jun 2026: Lombardo 45, Ford 42
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Chris Pappas
(D) - US Rep; won Sep 8 Dem primary about 65% over Manzur (updated count, NBC News, NHPR)
John Sununu
(R) - Former US Senator, Trump-endorsed; won Sep 8 GOP primary about 68.5% over Brown and Sivalingam (updated count, NBC News, Roll Call)
UNH Survey Center Granite State Poll (released Sep 24, field dates unconfirmed): Pappas 50, Sununu 42 (Pappas +8); NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22): Pappas 50, Sununu 45 (Pappas +5, sample size and MoE unconfirmed); InsiderAdvantage (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 18, LV, MoE 2.83%): Pappas 48, Sununu 40 (Pappas +8; treat with caution, field dates unavailable); co/efficient (fielded Sep 9-11, 958 LV, MoE 3.15%): Sununu 46, Pappas 46 (tied, 9% undecided); Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 8-10 (1,000 LV, MoE +/-2%): Pappas 45, Sununu 34 in full multi-candidate general field (Constitution Party candidate Laplante 2%, four independents split 11%, 9% undecided; two-way head-to-head would be closer; field dates overlap primary day so cross-tabs reflect mixed pre/post-primary opinion); UNH fielded Aug 20-24: Sununu 45, Pappas 43 in general (Sununu leading, reversal from Jul); St. Anselm fielded Aug 17-18: Pappas 48, Sununu 41; UNH Jul: Pappas 47, Sununu 44 (general)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Jon Husted
(R) - Appointed incumbent (filling JD Vance's seat)
Sherrod Brown
(D) - Former three-term senator
Rasmussen Reports (fielded Sep 22-23): Brown 46, Husted 43 (Libertarian Redpath 3%, Independent Levy 2%, 7% undecided); Quantus Insights for Newsweek (fielded Sep 21-23, 695 LV, MoE 4.2%): Brown 46, Husted 45 (statistical tie); Trafalgar Group (fielded Sep 14-16, 1,085 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): Brown 45, Husted 42 (Brown +3); InsiderAdvantage fielded Sep 9 (MoE 2.83%): Brown 47, Husted 42 (Brown +5); BGSU Democracy and Public Policy Research Network/YouGov fielded Sep 1-10 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.96%): Brown 48, Husted 45 (Libertarian Redpath 2%, Independent Levy 3%); Abacus Data (released Aug 28, field dates unconfirmed): Brown 52, Husted 46; Wedgewood Aug 11-13 (800 LV, MoE 4%): Brown 48, Husted 44; Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV, MoE 3%): Brown 53, Husted 45; Fox News May 28-Jun 1: Brown 53, Husted 45; AARP Jun 14-16: Brown 48, Husted 45; BGSU/YouGov (field dates unconfirmed, likely early 2026): Husted 50, Brown 47
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Vivek Ramaswamy
(R) - Entrepreneur, won May 5 primary
Amy Acton
(D) - Former state health director, unopposed in primary
BGSU Democracy and Public Policy Research Network fielded Sep 1-10 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.96%): Acton 48, Ramaswamy 45 (Acton +3, within MoE); Wedgewood Aug 11-13 (800 LV, MoE 4%): Acton 47, Ramaswamy 46; Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV, MoE 3%): Ramaswamy 50, Acton 48; Impact Research Jul 24-28: Ramaswamy 47, Acton 46 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%); AARP Jun 2026: Acton 47, Ramaswamy 44; NYT/Siena: tied 47-47
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ken Paxton
(R) - State AG, won May 26 runoff over incumbent Cornyn
James Talarico
(D) - State representative, won Dem primary 52.4%
TPOR (fielded Sep 19-22, 1,007 LV, MoE 3.6%): Talarico 49, Paxton 44 (Libertarian Brown 3%, 3% undecided, Talarico +5); Marist Poll (fielded Sep 17-20, 1,139 RV, MoE 4.4%): Talarico 50, Paxton 44 (Talarico +6); TSU/Barbara Jordan Center (fielded Sep 15-19, 1,800 LV, MoE 2.31%): Talarico 47, Paxton 46 (Talarico +1; Libertarian Brown 3%, 4% undecided); SoCal Strategies fielded Sep 12-13 (649 LV, R-leaning firm): Talarico 50, Paxton 45 (Talarico +5); Emerson for The Hill fielded Sep 12-14 (1,000 LV, MoE 3%): Talarico 47, Paxton 46 (statistical tie); Mason-Dixon for Telemundo fielded Sep 8-10 (625 RV, MoE 4%): Talarico 46, Paxton 43 (3% Libertarian, 8% undecided); YouGov for N+ Univision (fielded Aug 27-Sep 4, 1,000 RV with Hispanic oversample): Talarico 48, Paxton 43 (Talarico +5); Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP (fielded Aug 30-Sep 1, 895 LV, bipartisan polling team): Talarico 48, Paxton 44; InsiderAdvantage (R-leaning firm, field dates unconfirmed, released ~Sep 9-10): Talarico 47, Paxton 46 (treat with caution); Overton Insights for TPPF fielded Aug 24-26 (1,167 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning sponsor): Talarico 44, Paxton 43.6 (12.6% undecided); Slingshot Strategies (D, partisan) fielded Aug 24: Talarico 48, Paxton 42 (D-aligned partisan poll, treat with caution); UT/Texas Politics Project fielded Aug 5-13 (1,200 RV, MoE 2.83%): Talarico 42, Paxton 39 (3% Libertarian, 14% undecided); Emerson Aug 9-10: Paxton 47, Talarico 46 (tied within MoE); TSU/Barbara Jordan Center Aug 4: Talarico 47, Paxton 45; Fox News Jul 23-27 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Talarico 51, Paxton 48; TPOR Jul 15-17 (1,048 LV): Talarico 45, Paxton 40 (Talarico +5, MoE 3.4%); NYT/Siena: tied 47-47
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Katie Hobbs
(D) - Incumbent; won Jul 21 Democratic primary unopposed
Andy Biggs
(R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Jul 21 GOP primary over Schweikert
Noble Predictive Insights, fielded Aug 10-13 (LV): Hobbs 48, Biggs 35 (Hobbs +13); AARP Jul 26-28 (MoE 3.2%): Hobbs 52, Biggs 44 (Hobbs +8); Emerson (Jul 2026 pre-primary): Hobbs 44, Biggs 43; Biggs won Jul 21 GOP primary with ~70%
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Byron Donalds
(R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 18 GOP primary with about 48% over Jay Collins (25%), James Fishback (10%), and Paul Renner (9%)
David Jolly
(D) - Former GOP congressman who switched parties; won Aug 18 Dem primary with about 61% after Jerry Demings dropped out in June following a prostate cancer diagnosis
Stetson University (fielded Sep 14-21, n=830): Donalds 51, Jolly 39 (Donalds +12; contrasts sharply with St. Pete Polls statistical tie same period, likely a methodological difference); St. Pete Polls (fielded Sep 15-17, 913 LV, MoE 3.2%): Donalds 44, Jolly 43 (statistical tie); UNF Jul 8-17: Donalds 46, Jolly 41 (general matchup, MoE +/-3.8%); Emerson Jul 9-11: Jolly 46, Donalds 42 (general matchup)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Zach Lahn
(R) - Businessman; upset win with 37.65% over Rep. Randy Feenstra
Rob Sand
(D) - State Auditor; unopposed for Dem nomination
Emerson fielded Aug 31-Sep 1: Sand 49, Lahn 46; Emerson Aug 2-4 (LV): Sand 48, Lahn 43; Fox News Jun 23-27: Sand 53, Lahn 44; NYT/Siena Jun: Sand 48, Lahn 47
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Roger Marshall
(R) - Incumbent, won Aug 4 GOP primary
Adam Hamilton
(D) - Methodist pastor; won Aug 4 Democratic primary from crowded 11-candidate field
Wedgewood Polls (field dates unconfirmed, released ~Sep 25-26): Hamilton 50, Marshall 48, Graham (L) 2% (Hamilton +2); Emerson for Nexstar fielded Sep 15-16 (750 LV, MoE 3.6%): Hamilton 45, Marshall 43 (Libertarian Graham 4%, 8% undecided; Hamilton +2, first independent poll to show Hamilton ahead this cycle)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ty Masterson
(R) - Senate President, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP primary with 42% over Secretary of State Scott Schwab and others
Cindy Holscher
(D) - State senator; won Aug 4 Democratic primary
Nominees set after Aug 4 primaries: Masterson won GOP primary with 42%; Holscher won Democratic primary. Open seat, Kelly term-limited.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed
(D) - Progressive public health advocate; won Aug 4 Democratic primary over Rep. Haley Stevens despite $60M+ in outside spending against him (NBC News projection)
Mike Rogers
(R) - Former congressman, 2024 nominee, GOP nominee
Rasmussen Reports (fielded Sep 22): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44; NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22): El-Sayed 49, Rogers 44 (El-Sayed +5, sample size and MoE unconfirmed); Suffolk University (fielded Sep 16-20, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 40 (El-Sayed +7); InsiderAdvantage (field dates unconfirmed, completed Sep 17, MoE 2.83%): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 45 (El-Sayed +2, treat with caution, field dates unavailable); Washington Post/Schar School fielded Sep 10-14 (803 LV, MoE 3.9%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 45 (El-Sayed +3, within MoE); Emerson for The Hill fielded Sep 12-14 (1,000 LV, MoE 3%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 46 (El-Sayed +2, within MoE); Trafalgar Group fielded Sep 7-9 (1,079 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): El-Sayed 46.3, Rogers 44.8 (El-Sayed +1.5, within MoE); SRSS for CNN (fielded Aug 31-Sep 6): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44 (El-Sayed +3, statistical tie); EPIC-MRA for Detroit News/WDIV-TV (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, published Sep 8, 600 LV, MoE 4%): Rogers 45.8, El-Sayed 44.4 (Rogers +1.4, within MoE, statistical tie); EPIC-MRA fielded Aug 22-28 (600 LV, MoE 4%): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 43 (El-Sayed +4); IPPSR/MSU (YouGov panel, fielded Aug 10-20, 1,000 adults, released Sep 1): El-Sayed 50, Rogers 45 LV; El-Sayed 48, Rogers 44 RV; AARP fielded Aug 9-11 (877 LV, MoE 3.3%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 47; TIPP (field dates unconfirmed, post-primary Aug 2026): El-Sayed 45, Rogers 42; Susquehanna fielded Aug 11-17 (800 LV): El-Sayed 46, Rogers 39 (El-Sayed +7); Fox News fielded Aug 6-10 (1,006 RV, MoE 3%): Rogers 51, El-Sayed 47; EPIC-MRA fielded Jul 24-31: Rogers 46, El-Sayed 43; Mitchell Research fielded Jul 28-31 (672 LV): Rogers 45, El-Sayed 45 (tied); Glengariff fielded Jul 22-24: Rogers 49, El-Sayed 39
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Jocelyn Benson
(D) - Secretary of State; won Aug 4 Democratic gubernatorial primary over Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson
John James
(R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 4 GOP gubernatorial primary over businessman Perry Johnson
Glengariff Group for Detroit News/WDIV-TV (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, 600 LV, MoE 4%): Benson 47, James 43 (Benson +4); EPIC-MRA fielded Aug 22-28 (600 LV, MoE 4%): Benson 45, James 41 (Benson +4); EPIC-MRA Jul 31 (post-primary): Benson 47, James 38 (Benson +9); Mitchell Research Jul 28-29 (672 LV, post-primary): Benson 46, James 44 (Benson +2); Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Toss-up to Lean D on Jul 23
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Kelly Ayotte
(R) - Incumbent; won Sep 8 GOP primary easily over Fife and McClory (AP called)
Cinde Warmington
(D) - Former executive councilor; won Dem primary, ran effectively unopposed
UNH Survey Center fielded Aug 20-24 (released Aug 27): Ayotte 49, Warmington 39 (2,100 respondents); UNH Survey Center Jun 30: Ayotte 44, Warmington 39
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Roy Cooper
(D) - Former Governor, Democratic nominee
Michael Whatley
(R) - Former RNC chair, Trump-backed Republican nominee
ECU Center for Survey Research (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, 675 LV): Cooper 46, Whatley 39 (Cooper +7; forced choice: Cooper 52, Whatley 44); Trafalgar Group (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 10, 1,084 LV, MoE 2.9%): Cooper 48, Whatley 42 (Cooper +6); Elon University Poll (fielded Aug 21-31, released Sep 10, LV, MoE 5.6%): Cooper 49, Whatley 38 (Cooper +11); High Point University Aug 3-12 (LV): Cooper 50, Whatley 45 (+5); Carolina Journal Aug 9-10: Cooper 51.5, Whatley 39 (+12.5); Fox News Jul 28-Aug 5 (1,000 RV): Cooper 53, Whatley 44; Elon Univ late Jul: Cooper 53, Whatley 42 (+11); Carolina Forward Aug 2026: Cooper 50, Whatley 43; Emerson Aug 1 (CBS17): Cooper 47, Whatley 41; PPP Jul 10-11: Cooper 48, Whatley 44
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Tina Kotek
(D) - Incumbent, won primary with 84%
Christine Drazan
(R) - 2022 nominee, won primary with 41%
Nominees set; primaries held May 19, 2026; first OR gubernatorial rematch since 1978; Cook Political Report moved from Solid D to Likely D on Jul 10, then from Likely D to Lean D on Sep 10, 2026, as Kotek's numbers tightened.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Greg Abbott
(R) - Incumbent, won primary with 82%
Gina Hinojosa
(D) - State representative, won primary with 59%
TPOR fielded Sep 19-22 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.6%): Abbott 50, Hinojosa 46 (Abbott +4); Mason-Dixon for Nexstar (fielded Sep 8-10, 625 RV, MoE 4%): Abbott 48, Hinojosa 41 (Abbott +7); YouGov for N+ Univision (fielded Aug 27-Sep 4, 1,000 RV with Hispanic oversample): Abbott 47, Hinojosa 47 (tied, 5% undecided); Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR) fielded Aug 21-24 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.3%): Abbott 49, Hinojosa 42 (Abbott +7)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
David Crowley
(D) - Milwaukee County Executive; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Francesca Hong; endorsed by Gov. Evers
Tom Tiffany
(R) - US Representative, Trump-endorsed; won Aug 11 GOP primary
Marquette Law School (released Aug 26, fielded Aug 12-20, 891 RV, 738 LV, MoE 4%): Crowley 49, Tiffany 44 (LV); 44-44 (RV); TIPP Insights (field dates unconfirmed, approx. Aug 18): Crowley 47, Tiffany 43; Badger Battleground/Platform Communications, fielded Aug 12-13 (MoE 4.4%): Crowley 48, Tiffany 44; RMG Research/Napolitan, fielded Jul 20-24 and therefore pre-primary (MoE 3.5%): Crowley 46, Tiffany 43; GBAO for Protect Our Wisconsin/DGA, fielded Jul 30-Aug 3 (800 LV, MoE 3.5%): Crowley 47, Tiffany 44 (D-aligned partisan poll).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ned Lamont
(D) - Incumbent seeking third term; won Aug 11 Democratic primary over state Rep. Josh Elliott approx. 67-33%
Ryan Fazio
(R) - State senator; GOP nominee
Lamont leads Fazio 49.7-29.5 in general matchup (SHU/WFSB/CT Insider Jul 21-26).
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Jon Ossoff
(D) - Incumbent
Mike Collins
(R) - US Rep, Trump-endorsed, won Jun 16 runoff 55.5% over Derek Dooley
InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 22-23, 1,200 LV, R-leaning firm): Ossoff 50, Collins 42 (8% undecided, Ossoff +8); YouGov (fielded Sep 15-18, 3,447 RV, MoE 2.7%): Ossoff 51, Collins 41 (Ossoff +10); Quantus Insights fielded Sep 14-16 (645 LV, MoE 4.3%): Ossoff 48.2, Collins 44.4 (Ossoff +3.8, within MoE); Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 14 (1,019 LV, MoE 3%): Ossoff 51, Collins 42 (Ossoff +9); Trafalgar Group fielded Sep 10-12 (1,091 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): Ossoff 49.4, Collins 42.8 (Ossoff +6.6); InsiderAdvantage Aug 16-17 (800 LV, MoE 3.46%): Ossoff 50, Collins 43 (Ossoff +7); AARP Jul 13-16: Ossoff 52, Collins 43 (1,060 LV, MoE 3%); Fox News Jun 23-27: Ossoff 56, Collins 43
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Amy Klobuchar
(D) - US Senator; won Aug 11 DFL gubernatorial primary with 89.1%
Lisa Demuth
(R) - MN House Speaker; won Aug 11 GOP gubernatorial primary with about 45% over Trump-endorsed Lindell (33%) and state party-endorsed Qualls; first Black major-party gubernatorial nominee in Minnesota history
co/efficient (fielded Sep 14-15, 833 LV, MoE 3.38%): Klobuchar 47, Demuth 45 (Klobuchar +2, within MoE); KSTP/SurveyUSA (post-primary, Aug 2026): Klobuchar leads statewide moderates 57-25; Demuth leads Klobuchar 44-42 in northeastern MN (within MoE). Pre-primary MN Poll: Klobuchar led Demuth by about 8 pts statewide.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Pete Ricketts
(R) - Incumbent, won May 12 primary with 81.8%
Dan Osborn
(I) - Former union leader, 2024 candidate; no poll shows Ricketts pulling clear in a state Trump won by 20 pts
Wedgewood (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 16): Ricketts 52, Osborn 48 (Ricketts +4); SurveyUSA for Grant Forbes LLC (fielded Sep 8-13, 503 LV, MoE 6.4%): Osborn 46, Ricketts 42 (Osborn +4); Impact Research for Osborn for Senate, fielded Aug 9-13 (600 LV, MoE 4%, D-aligned partisan poll, treat with caution): Ricketts 47, Osborn 47 (tied); Feb statewide: Ricketts 48, Osborn 47 (statistical tie); D-aligned Jul poll: Osborn +5 (partisan source, treat with caution)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Annie Andrews
(D) - Pediatrician, won Jun 9 Dem primary 61.5%
Darline Graham Nordone
(R) - Trump-endorsed appointed interim senator; won Aug 25 runoff over Ralph Norman (AP projection). Led Aug 11 primary 32.7%, Norman 24.6%.
Emerson/Nexstar Jul 28-29 (n=500, MoE 4.3%): Norman 22%, Nordone 19%, Fry 12%, Sanford 11% (25% undecided); Aug 11 primary: Nordone 32.7%, Norman 24.6%, Fry 19.6%; Nordone won Aug 25 runoff.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ashley Moody
(R) - Appointed incumbent; won Aug 18 GOP primary with about 80% over Chris Gleason (14%) and two others
Angie Nixon
(D) - Florida state Rep., democratic socialist; upset front-runner Alex Vindman in Aug 18 Dem primary 56.1% to 43.9% (705,192 to 552,774 votes, CNN, NBC News projection)
Stetson University Poll (fielded Sep 14-21, n=830): Moody 51, Nixon 40 (Moody +11); Sabato's Crystal Ball and Cook Political Report both rate Safe R following Moody's dominant primary win and Nixon's upset primary victory. UNF PORL fielded Jul 8-17 (848 LV, MoE 3.8%): Moody 50, Nixon 42 (pre-primary general-election matchup, pollster tested both Vindman and Nixon as Democratic opponents). Pre-primary vs. Vindman (now outdated): WLRN/Florida Phoenix Jul 20: Moody 50, Vindman 40; AIF Jun 3-7: Moody 47, Vindman 40.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Ed Markey
(D) - Incumbent; won Sep 1 Democratic primary over Rep. Seth Moulton 64.9% to 35.1% (572,595 to 310,365 votes, final count; AP projection called at 8:31 p.m.)
John Deaton
(R) - Won Sep 1 Republican primary over Nathan Bech; November challenger to Markey
Final Sep 1 primary result: Markey 64.9%, Moulton 35.1% (572,595 to 310,365 votes). Pre-primary polls for context: Emerson College (fielded Aug 28-29, 2026): Markey 60, Moulton 33; UNH Survey Center (released Aug 26, field dates unconfirmed): Markey 63, Moulton 28; Suffolk/Boston Globe Aug 13-16 (500 likely Dem primary voters): Markey 52, Moulton 38
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Kathy Hochul
(D) - Incumbent
Bruce Blakeman
(R) - Nassau County executive; also Conservative Party endorsed
Siena: Hochul 50, Blakeman 25
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Josh Shapiro
(D) - Incumbent
Stacy Garrity
(R) - State treasurer
Quinnipiac: Shapiro 55, Garrity 37
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Jack Reed
(D) - Incumbent, seeking sixth term; won Sep 9 Democratic primary 76.8% (98,343 votes) over Burbridge (13.4%, 17,159 votes) and Munoz (9.8%, 12,483 votes) (RI Board of Elections final unofficial count)
Raymond McKay
(R) - Won Sep 9 Republican primary; general-election challenger to Reed
UNH Survey Center Granite State Poll (fielded Sep 17-21, released Sep 24): Reed 53, McKay 33 (Reed +20)
Updated: Sep 28, 2026
Phil Scott
(R) - Incumbent, GOP nominee; ran effectively unopposed
Amanda Janoo
(D) - Economist; won Aug 11 Democratic primary narrowly over Aly Richards
Morning Consult (Feb 2026): Scott 74% approval, most popular governor in the country.
Updated: Sep 28, 2026