Roy Cooper
(D) - Former Governor
48%
Open seat: Tillis retiring · Cook moved from Lean D to Likely D Oct 6, 2026; Sabato moved Toss-up to Lean D Aug 19 (remains Lean D) · ECU Center for Survey Research (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, 675 LV): Cooper 46, Whatley 39 · Trafalgar Group (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 10, 1,084 LV, MoE 2.9%): Cooper 48, Whatley 42 · Elon University Poll (fielded Aug 21-31, released Sep 10, LV, MoE 5.6%): Cooper 49, Whatley 38 · High Point University Aug 3-12: Cooper 50, Whatley 45 · Carolina Journal Aug 9-10: Cooper 51.5, Whatley 39 · Fox News Jul 28-Aug 5 (1,000 RV): Cooper 53, Whatley 44
Updated Oct 7, 2026
Jon Husted
(R) - Incumbent (appointed)
45%
Sherrod Brown
(D) - Former Senator
49%
YouGov (released Oct 6, field dates unconfirmed, LV, MoE 2.5%): Brown 49, Husted 45 (Brown +4) · CNN/SSRS (fielded Sep 29-Oct 5, 760 RV, MoE 4.5%): Brown 49, Husted 43 (Brown +6) · NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 21-Oct 1, released Oct 3, 2026, LV): Brown 49, Husted 46 (Brown +3) · Marist Poll (fielded Sep 24-27, 1,298 RV, MoE 3.8%): Brown 51, Husted 43 (Brown +8, independents 58-33 Brown) · Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Lean R to Toss-up Sep 22 (Cook and Inside Elections remain Toss-up) · Rasmussen Reports (fielded Sep 22-23): Brown 46, Husted 43 (Redpath 3%, Levy 2%, 7% undecided) · Quantus Insights for Newsweek (fielded Sep 21-23, 695 LV, MoE 4.2%): Brown 46, Husted 45 (statistical tie) · Trafalgar Group (fielded Sep 14-16, 1,085 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): Brown 45, Husted 42 (Brown +3) · InsiderAdvantage fielded Sep 9 (MoE 2.83%): Brown 47, Husted 42 (Brown +5) · BGSU/YouGov fielded Sep 1-10 (1,000 LV, MoE 3.96%): Brown 48, Husted 45 · Abacus Data (released Aug 28, field dates unconfirmed): Brown 52, Husted 46 · Wedgewood Aug 11-13 (800 LV): Brown 48, Husted 44 · Fox News Aug 6-10 (1,000 RV): Brown 53, Husted 45
Updated Oct 11, 2026
Jon Ossoff
(D) - Incumbent
51%
InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 22-23, 1,200 LV, R-leaning firm): Ossoff 50, Collins 42 (8% undecided) · Sabato moved to Likely D Sep 10, 2026; Cook moved to Likely D Sep 23, 2026 · YouGov (fielded Sep 15-18, 3,447 RV, MoE 2.7%): Ossoff 51, Collins 41 (Ossoff +10) · Quantus Insights fielded Sep 14-16 (645 LV, MoE 4.3%): Ossoff 48.2, Collins 44.4 (Ossoff +3.8, within MoE) · Rasmussen Reports fielded Sep 14 (1,019 LV, MoE 3%): Ossoff 51, Collins 42 (Ossoff +9) · Trafalgar Group fielded Sep 10-12 (1,091 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): Ossoff 49.4, Collins 42.8 (Ossoff +6.6) · InsiderAdvantage Aug 16-17: Ossoff 50, Collins 43 · AARP Jul 13-16: Ossoff 52, Collins 43 · Fox News Jun 23-27: Ossoff 56, Collins 43
Updated Sep 26, 2026
YouGov (fielded Sep 28-Oct 5, 3,625 RV, MoE 3%): Talarico 50, Paxton 44 (Talarico +6; registered voters) · NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 21-Oct 1, released Oct 3, 2026, LV): Talarico 51, Paxton 45 (Talarico +6) · Fox News (fielded Sep 24-28, 881 LV, MoE 3%, bipartisan Beacon/Shaw): Talarico 51, Paxton 49 (Talarico +2, within MoE) · Toss-up (Cook, Aug 20; Sabato, Aug 26); Inside Elections moved Lean R to Tilt R Oct 1, 2026 · TPOR (fielded Sep 19-22, 1,007 LV, MoE 3.6%): Talarico 49, Paxton 44 (Talarico +5) · Marist Poll (fielded Sep 17-20, 1,139 RV, MoE 4.4%): Talarico 50, Paxton 44 (Talarico +6) · TSU/Barbara Jordan Center (fielded Sep 15-19, 1,800 LV, MoE 2.31%): Talarico 47, Paxton 46 (Talarico +1) · Emerson/The Hill fielded Sep 12-14 (1,000 LV, MoE 3%): Talarico 47, Paxton 46 (statistical tie) · Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research for AARP (fielded Aug 30-Sep 1, 895 LV, bipartisan): Talarico 48, Paxton 44
Updated Oct 10, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed
(D) - Won Aug 4 primary
49%
Mike Rogers
(R) - GOP nominee
48%
Quantus Insights (released Oct 7, field dates unconfirmed, 762 LV, MoE 3.9%): El-Sayed 47.6, Rogers 46.5 (El-Sayed +1.1, within MoE, statistical tie) · Mitchell Research for CBS Detroit (released Oct 5, field dates unconfirmed, LV, MoE 3.8%): El-Sayed 45.6, Rogers 41.4 (El-Sayed +4.2) · YouGov (fielded Sep 22-Oct 4, 3,949 LV, MoE 2.5%): El-Sayed 49, Rogers 48 (El-Sayed +1, within MoE) · Fox News (fielded Sep 24-28, 1,028 LV, MoE 3%): El-Sayed 50, Rogers 49 LV; 51-48 RV (El-Sayed +1-3, within MoE) · Marist (fielded Sep 24-27, 1,235 RV, MoE 3.9%): El-Sayed 51, Rogers 44 (El-Sayed +7, registered voters) · Rasmussen Reports (fielded Sep 22): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44 · Open seat: Peters retiring · Sabato's Crystal Ball moved from Toss-up to Lean D Sep 22 (Cook and Inside Elections remain Toss-up) · NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22): El-Sayed 49, Rogers 44 (El-Sayed +5) · Suffolk University (fielded Sep 16-20, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 40 (El-Sayed +7) · InsiderAdvantage (field dates unconfirmed, completed Sep 17, treat with caution): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 45 · WaPo/Schar School fielded Sep 10-14 (803 LV, MoE 3.9%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 45 (statistical tie) · Emerson/The Hill fielded Sep 12-14 (1,000 LV, MoE 3%): El-Sayed 48, Rogers 46 (statistical tie) · Trafalgar Group fielded Sep 7-9 (1,079 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): El-Sayed 46.3, Rogers 44.8 (tie) · SRSS for CNN (fielded Aug 31-Sep 6): El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44 · EPIC-MRA for Detroit News/WDIV (fielded Aug 31-Sep 3, pub. Sep 8, 600 LV): Rogers 45.8, El-Sayed 44.4
Updated Oct 10, 2026
Chris Pappas
(D) - Won Sep 8 primary (~65%, updated count)
51%
John Sununu
(R) - Won Sep 8 primary (~68.5%, updated count)
43%
YouGov (released Oct 6, field dates unconfirmed, LV, MoE 3.9%): Pappas 51, Sununu 43 (Pappas +8) · Rasmussen Reports (fielded Oct 2-4, 2026, 979 LV, MoE 3%): Pappas 49, Sununu 44 (Laplante L 3%, 4% undecided, Pappas +5) · New Hampshire Institute of Politics at St. Anselm for AARP (fielded Sep 28-29, 2026, 1,042 LV, MoE 3.7%, released Oct 6): Pappas 51, Sununu 44 (Pappas +7) · Trafalgar Group (fielded Sep 26-27, 1,082 LV, MoE 2.9%, R-leaning firm): Pappas 47, Sununu 41 (Pappas +6) · UNH Survey Center Granite State Poll (fielded Sep 17-21, 2026, 1,418 LV, MoE 2.6%): Pappas 50, Sununu 42 (Pappas +8) · Open seat: Shaheen retiring · Cook moved from Toss-up to Lean D Oct 6, 2026; Sabato and Inside Elections remain Toss-up · NYT/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22): Pappas 50, Sununu 45 (Pappas +5) · InsiderAdvantage (field dates unconfirmed, released Sep 18, LV, MoE 2.83%): Pappas 48, Sununu 40 (treat with caution, field dates unavailable) · co/efficient (fielded Sep 9-11, 958 LV, MoE 3.15%): Sununu 46, Pappas 46 (tied, 9% undecided) · Rasmussen fielded Sep 8-10 (1,000 LV, MoE +/-2%): Pappas 45, Sununu 34 in full multi-candidate field (13% to minor candidates, 9% undecided; two-way head-to-head is closer) · UNH fielded Aug 20-24: Sununu 45, Pappas 43 · St. Anselm fielded Aug 17-18: Pappas 48, Sununu 41
Updated Oct 11, 2026
Susan Collins
(R) - Incumbent
46%
Troy Jackson
(D) - Former State Senate President
50%
Washington Post/Schar School (fielded Sep 30-Oct 5, released Oct 9, LV): Jackson 50, Collins 46 (Jackson +4, within MoE) · Marist Poll (fielded Oct 1-4, 2026, 1,505 RV, MoE 3.8%): Jackson 51, Collins 47 (Jackson +4, registered voters) · CBS News/YouGov (fielded Sep 23-Oct 1, 1,114 RV, MoE 4.7%): Jackson 50, Collins 50 (tied, registered voters) · InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 26, R-leaning firm): Jackson 46, Collins 46 (tied) · AARP (fielded Sep 20-22, 982 LV, MoE 3.13%, bipartisan): Jackson 50, Collins 47 · UNH (fielded Sep 17-21, released Sep 24): Jackson 51, Collins 47 (within MoE) · UMass Lowell/YouGov (released Sep 24, field dates unconfirmed, 650 LV, MoE ~4.5%): Jackson 48, Collins 43 · Nominees: Jackson nominated Jul 25 Bangor convention · Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections all rate Toss-up · NYT/Portland Press Herald/Siena (fielded Sep 15-22, 619 LV, MoE 4.8%): Collins 49, Jackson 46 · SRSS for CNN (fielded Aug 31-Sep 7, 880 LV, MoE 3.7%): Jackson 48, Collins 45 (statistical tie)
Updated Oct 10, 2026
Peggy Flanagan
(D) - Won Aug 11 primary (58.7%)
46%
Michele Tafoya
(R) - Won Aug 11 primary (~52%)
45%
Big Data Poll (fielded Sep 29-30, 2026, with leaners, LV): Flanagan 45.8, Tafoya 43.6 (Flanagan +2.2) · InsiderAdvantage (fielded Sep 28-29, LV, MoE 2.95%, R-leaning firm): Flanagan 46, Tafoya 45 (Flanagan +1, within MoE, statistical tie) · Open seat: Smith retiring · Cook moved Likely D to Toss-up Sep 17; Sabato remains Likely D; Inside Elections moved Likely D to Lean D Oct 1, 2026 · SurveyUSA (completed Sep 16, field start unconfirmed): Flanagan 42, Tafoya 42 (statistical tie) · co/efficient (fielded Sep 14-15, 833 LV, MoE 3.38%): Flanagan 43, Tafoya 42 (statistical tie) · Quantus Insights (fielded Sep 8-10, 720 LV, MoE 4.2%): Flanagan 48, Tafoya 44 (Flanagan +4) · TIPP (fielded Aug 31-Sep 2): Flanagan 44, Tafoya 42 (Flanagan +2, within MoE)
Updated Oct 5, 2026